Category Archives: Conferences

Achieving Global Consensus on PV Grid parity

Qualified Opinion Sources are kindly invited to express their opinion on a specific website: www.SolarGridParity.com

on the following debate:

By 2020 or earlier the installed costs for solar electricity systems will be reduced to US$1 per watt

Background: Due to strong incentives, mainly within the EU, global solar photovoltaic market has significantly grown during 2010, with the whole PV installed capacity having reached almost 40GW, or up 70% from nearly 23GW in 2009. The strong expansion in PV installations was mainly dominated by the European countries, with about 70% of the new solar power installations in 2010, with Germany leading the PV market accounting for almost 7GW and Italy with about 3GW, followed by Czech Republic (1.3GW), France (0.5GW), Spain (0.4), Belgium (0.25) and Greece (0.2). As for the main markets outside Europe, Japan PV market accounted for nearly 1GW, followed by the United States (0.8GW) and China (0.4GW).

The US administration and the Chinese government are both aiming at achieving price parity between solar electricity and fossil-based electricity without additional subsidies. Reaching this goal will establish the country’s technological leadership, improve the nation’s energy security, and strengthen economic competitiveness in the global clean energy race.

President Obama laid down a bold challenge to America in his State of the Union speech January 2011: “get to 80% clean energy by 2035.”

Ms. Eleni Despotou, Secretary General of the European Photovoltaic Industry Association (www.interpv.net): “PV electricity would see its generation costs dropping to a range of 5 to 12 c / kWh by 2020, making it highly competitive with all peak generation technologies, and as low as 4 to 8c/kWh in 2030, making it also widely competitive with most mid-load generation technologies.”

 

On the other hand we hear every day: “Solar is too expensive” or “Variable costs related to permitting, inspection and interconnection are killing the solar industry’s ability to achieve speed and scale”.   .

Mr. Amnon Samid, CEO, The AGS group  (www.AGSpower.com):  “Encouraging investment only in PV systems will jeopardize the chances to develop a competitive solar thermal mini-grid distributed  generation solutions for electricity production, that may enjoy the advantages of PV systems, but offers also storage capabilities and hybrid, co-generation and on-site power production options, occupying less expensive land for extended use, making it competitive with base load generation technologies, representing an alternative for new generation capacity  in Sunbelt countries.”

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) SunShot Initiative aims to restore America’s once-dominant position in the global market for solar photovoltaic (PV), which has dwindled from 43% in 1995 to only 6% today. DOE estimates that if the installed costs for solar energy systems drop to $1 per watt — equivalent to a levelized cost of electricity of 5-6 cents per kilowatt hour — solar without subsidies would be competitive with the wholesale rate of electricity nearly everywhere in the U.S. The DOE intend to devote $200 million per year — to support a targeted roadmap to meet the SunShot goal by the end of the decade.

However, the “64 million dollar question” is:

Is it a realistic goal?

You are invited to express your professional opinion by answering three brief questions at: www.SolarGridParity.com

The BiPSA methodology aims to convert

Controversy-to-Consensus

www.BiPSA.com

 in collaboration with the AGS Group www.AGSpower.com

Promoting and enabling the incorporation of innovative clean energy technologies into the grid.

Evaluating whether clean energy technological breakthroughs are realistic for achieving grid parity & how can we make it happen?

Key addressing on policy & implementation matters at the Eilat-Eilot Renewable Energy conference Feb 2010 (*) as presented by Amnon Samid, Executive Chairman, the AGS group:

• Addressing the challenges of grid integration for renewables from the transmission perspective.

• Distributed energy generation as key to deploying advanced clean energy technologies.

• Adopting the grid to be able to integrate different unstable sources of energy, incorporate energy storage, distribution automation and distribution management systems and improving frequency stability of grids that incorporate remote clean energy sources.

• Applying smart grid vision globally – a global link which uses AC and DC transmissions.

• Is not it a shame wasting hundreds of millions during the last decade on subsidizing PV integrators, instead of investing these money in developing new technologies that will not require governmental incentives and replace all use of fossil fuel for electricity production and transportation?

• Presenting the ‘big picture’ beyond subsidies and feed-in tariffs – insight into the future of developing new technologies and evaluating whether technological breakthroughs are realistic for achieving grid parity and how we can make it happen (Manhattan-like clean energy projects).

Samid also encouraged Lenders to take the risks in financing renewable energy projects that are based on new technologies, which are not defined yet as “bankable”, while presenting the main risk factors and mitigation required:

 • Technology, which should be mitigated by proven design or tested Equipment (especially when it’s not a proven technology). • Suppliers, which should be mitigated by their references, track record, experience and financial strength and warrantees.

• EPC, which could be mitigated by performance guarantee and ongoing measurements of performance & degradation.

• Developers, especially their credibility, track record and risk profile.

• O&M, which should be mitigated by track record of the contractor, warranties for availability, performance guarantees & degradation, spare parts management and O&M budget.

• Operation strategy & Performance model for the lifetime of the project.

• Financial model, which should include exposure to risks involved in fluctuations in Interest rates, currencies rates, seasonal factors etc., while especially it’s important to make sure that low probability scenarios will still result in sufficient revenues to repay the loan.

 • Solar resources, especially the basis and accuracy of historic irradiation data and assessment of future irradiation data.

• Infrastructure, Permits and Licenses, including space constrains, access roads, availability of fossil fuels, water availability, flood protection, transmission facilities, geotechnical & environmental assessments.

• Revenue which is controlled by all the above and the Power Purchase Agreement [PPA].

 —–

(*) The conference brought together major leaders on clean & renewable energy — technology experts, academic researchers, regulators, policy makers, consumers, financial experts, industry leaders, utilities, start-up companies along with influences from the US, Europe & Africa.

• Amnon Samid was moderating a panel with key decision makers analyzing the current situation of clean & renewable energy industry in Israel

“Making the Impossible Possible – Finding Alternatives to Fossil Fuels”

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Speech at the 2009 President’s Conference Jerusalem, 20 October 2009

 Translation from Hebrew

This Conference is an opportunity to think about how to make the impossible possible. How do we transform a dream into reality, a crisis into an opportunity? ……Therefore, tonight I would like to talk to you about one of the more significant matters on the global agenda: eliminating the world’s dependence on fossil fuels, particularly oil. We all know the simple truth: dependence on oil endangers the world. It is a threat to our security, our economy and the environment. Our security, because dependence on fossil fuels strengthens the dark regimes that encourage instability and fund terror with their petrodollars. Our economy, because if we don’t develop alternative energy sources, the demand for fossil fuels will increase and the supply will decrease. This will lead to an increase in prices, which in turn will adversely affect global economic development in countries that import fossil fuels – which is the majority of countries. This will cause serious economic harm. Environmentally, because the pollution from fossil fuels poisons the air that we breathe, the water that we drink and the food that we eat. Our dependence on oil harms us and the earth every day, and has done so for decades. To counteract all this, we must set a goal: we must free ourselves from our dependence on oil. I know it seems impossible, but believe me – it is possible. Sometimes all it takes is one or two inventions to make a breakthrough and change the world. Look at salt during the 19th century. Until the beginning of the 20th century, salt was a luxury item used to preserve food. Caravans of camels carried salt through the Sahara Desert, and the salt was traded for gold. Entire empires became rich trading salt, because of the world’s dependence on salt. But two inventions were made. The first was the canning process and the second was refrigeration, and all at once the world’s huge dependence on salt was eliminated. As a result, the salt empires crashed almost overnight. Is Israel the country that will discover the breakthrough that will free the world of its dependence on fossil fuels? I believe so because Israel has two significant resources that provide us with a good chance of doing so. • We have the minds and the hearts. • The capability, the will. Israel is very advanced in the technological fields – agro-tech, hi-tech, nanotechnology, solar energy, battery technologies and renewable energies. Naturally, we are leading candidates to create a global revolution in the clean energy field because of this capacity. Here is the essence of what I’m saying. It’s possible to change the world. The greatest changes in man’s history occurred when there was not only a technological change, but a conceptual change. For many generations, hundreds of thousands of years, man was a hunter-gather. He went to seek out food. He had to go great distances, chase animals to get the protein he needed, or to look for berries or fruit to gather so he’d have the nutrients that were needed for life. These nomadic hunter-gatherer patterns changed one day, because man realized that the food was right underneath his feet. And that was the day that agriculture was born. We are hunter-gatherers for energy. We go to the depths of the oceans. We seek energy from the bowels of the Earth and distant lands. But the energy is right under our noses. It’s all around us. It’s bountiful. It’s in the sun. It’s in the wind. It’s in the water. We just have to tap it.

I think we have the capacity to develop this. Our Nobel Prize winners were mentioned – yes, we have per capita more Nobel Prize winners than any other country, than any other people. We have the second largest concentration of technological capacity; in terms of venture capital, the highest per capita by far. We have scientific publications and we have patents in abundance. So we have the capacity, including in these areas – the development of energy from hydrogen, from water, the development of solar energy and other energies. We have the brains, but we also have the will. Because think what this will mean for our national security. Think of what it would mean for our future if the world ended its dependence on fossil fuels, and especially on oil. By changing this dependence, we can change the world. I don’t know which technology will triumph. Yesterday, Ray Kurzweil, who hasn’t changed a bit in 35 years – I remember you from MIT, Ray – you gave us a course on entrepreneurship and you proceeded to be an entrepreneur, like Shimon Peres, in your own great scientific capacities. Yesterday you said that the efficiency of solar energy doubles every two years. You said that we live in a very brief generation that will develop the energy of the proximate future. If that’s the case, then we’re in good shape. But I say let’s make it happen faster. If we have placed a man on the moon, surely we can harness the energy of the sun.

 What I propose to do today is to establish a nation commission of scientists, engineers, business and government people to set a goal that within ten years, we’ll have a practical, clean, efficient substitute for oil. I think it’s possible. I think we can make the impossible possible. Ladies and Gentlemen, I have never been accused of being a disciple of government intervention. However, sometimes the private market simply cannot create the critical mass of activities needed to make such a big change. Sometimes it needs a push and support from the government. Finding an alternative to oil is a critical matter for the State of Israel must deal with – with regard to geopolitics, security concerns, environmental concerns, to secure the future and to change the world’s order of priorities. Therefore, I repeat my announcement that I am going to establish a national commission comprised of scientists, manufacturers, engineers, businesspeople and government officials, with the goal of formulating a practical plan for efficient development in technologies and engineering in order to replace fossil fuels within the decade. I ask the minds and talents who are here, and around the world, to help.

It is not in our interest alone. The resources need not be exclusively Israel’s. Most of the world shares this interest. But Israel has a strong and clear interest in achieving this. “For out of Zion will come Torah”: We are commanded to bring a new light to the world. God willing, with your help and the help of many others around the world, we will make the impossible possible. Thank you.

Clean Energy “Apollo project” (40 years to the success of the first Apollo project)

We should urgently pursue a project for developing  technologies that can make a difference, to get rid of world dependence on oil, with the same vigor that the U.S. pursued the famous “Apollo project” (tomorrow 40 years anniversary).

Every nation on this planet is at risk.  And just as no one nation is responsible for climate change, no one nation can address it alone.  ….And it is why we have gathered again here today. –President Barack Obama. 

 Al Gore:  There has never been a better time than now for making the change we need in dealing with the climate crisis …  This is truly a new era of hope and opportunity for our cause.

We welcome individuals to contribute their solutions, ideas, words, and images.

Stay alert: Details will come soon….Kick-off is expected in February 2010.

www.energysummit2010.com

U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue to be held July 27-28, 2009 in Washington, D.C.

Two-Day Meeting Co-Hosted by U.S Departments of State and Treasury to Focus on Addressing Mutual Challenges, Opportunities and Promoting U.S.-China Cooperation WASHINGTON – The U.S. Departments of Treasury and State today announced that the first joint meeting of the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue will be held in Washington, D.C. from July 27-28, 2009.

The Dialogue will focus on addressing the challenges and opportunities that both countries face on a wide range of bilateral, regional and global areas of immediate and long-term strategic and economic interests. This first meeting of the Dialogue will also set the stage for intensive, ongoing and future bilateral cooperative mechanisms. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner will be joined for the Dialogue by their respective Chinese Co-Chairs, State Councilor Dai Bingguo and Vice Premier Wang Qishan.

U.S. Sen. Harry Reid planning clean energy summit in August in Vegas

The senator says the meeting of policy makers and business leaders will be held at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas on August 10, and will focus on the potential for job creation in the renewable energy industry.

Former Vice President Al Gore and Texas oilman and clean energy advocate T. Boone Pickens are scheduled to attend.

The Center for American Progress also is hosting the event.

 

Candidates for the Board of the First multi-national Task Force for 100% Renewable Energy?

 www.OilAway.org,

The Board will be established at the Energy Summit in 2010: http://www.energysummit2010.com/

  [The Apollo/Manhattan Clean Energy project was first announced by Amnon Samid at the Eilot International Renewable Energy Conference in Feb 2009] 

Martin Hoffert‏
Department of Physics, New York University
Ken Caldeira
Carnegie Institution / Stanford University
John Katzenberger
Aspen Global Change Institute
David Archer
Department of Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago
Maurice Averner
Ames Research Center, NASA
Scott Barrett
School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University
Gregory Benford
Department of Physics, University of California, Irvine
Baruch Blumberg (Nobel laureate)
Fox Chase Cancer Center / University of Pennsylvania
Paul Crutzen (Nobel laureate)
University of California (San Diego) / Max Planck Institute for Chemistry
William Fulkerson
Institute for a Secure and Sustainable Environment, University of Tennessee
Christopher Green
Department of Economics, McGill University
Susan Hassol
Climate Communication
Eric Hoffert
Versatility Inc.
Thomas Homer-Dixon
Trudeau Center for Peace and Conflict Studies, University of Toronto
Feng Hsu
Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA
Mark Jacobson
Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford University
David Keith
Institute for Sustainable Energy, Environment and Economy, University of Calgary
Geoffrey Landis
Glenn Research Center, NASA
Jane C. S. Long
hydrogeologist and geotechnical engineer
Michael MacCracken
Climate Institute, Washington, DC
John C. Mankins
Sunsat Energy Council / Managed Energy Technologies
Michael E. Mann
Earth System Science Center, Pennsylvania State University
Gregg Marland
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Mark Nelson
Institute of Ecotechnics, Santa Fe, NM
Darel Preble
Space Solar Power Institute, Georgia Institute of Technology
Gregory H. Rau
Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California, Santa Cruz
Steve Rayner
Said Business School, Oxford, UK
Kim Stanley Robinson
Author, “Forty Signs of Rain”
Gregory Dennis Sachs
Alternative Power Program, US Merchant Marine Academy
Thomas Schelling (Nobel laureate)
Department of Economics, University of Maryland
Michael Schlesinger
Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Steven E. Schwartz
Brookhaven National Laboratory, Department of Energy
John Turner
National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Department of Energy
Tyler Volk
Department of Biology, New York University
Tom M. L. Wigley
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Steven C. Wofsy
School of Engineering and Applied Science / Department of Earth and Planetary Science, Harvard University
Lowell Wood
Hoover Institution / Stanford University

Dear ______,

Dear Member of Congress,

We the undersigned urge you to accelerate our transition to a clean energy economy with the ambition of an Apollo or Manhattan program, by dramatically increasing America’s investment in innovative new energy technologies and systems.

A wide range of policies aimed at increasing conservation, efficiency, and reducing emissions is vital, but carbon prices and regulations alone will not create new, clean and affordable energy systems soon enough or at the scale needed.

America should be ramping up to invest a minimum of $30 billion per year to develop, demonstrate, and stimulate the commercialization of a range of technologies and approaches that can provide affordable carbon-neutral energy and use that energy more wisely. This is less than half of what America already invests in military research and development.

The United States is in a unique position to take the lead in this research and development effort, but we must work with others. The world, including China, India and other developing nations, needs affordable clean technologies now to avoid the lock-in of massive carbon emissions from conventional coal plants.

Energy sources available today cannot provide enough power to drive economic growth without damaging our climate system. We cannot predict with confidence which energy technologies will win in a future marketplace. For this reason, we need a diverse and strategically selected portfolio of investments. Potential solutions need to be explored and tested with hardware. Because the taxpayer dollar should be invested wisely, a relatively open process should be established that will select and support research and development projects based on technical merits.

Public investment in clean energy will more than pay for itself, just as did the U.S. government investment in computer science and aerospace during the 1950s and ’60s. Much of our economic growth since World War II resulted from technological developments that were accelerated and incubated by public investment – the Internet being only one example. Particularly critical are technologies that can be commercialized in five to twenty-five years — too long for venture capital, too short for basic research. Private firms are not making — and cannot be expected to make – the necessary level of long-term investments in energy and energy infrastructure research and development.

The major problems confronting the nation and world require clean, secure, and affordable energy.

Sustained public investment now in a diverse portfolio of energy technologies will reduce climate risk, increase energy security, revitalize education, enhance our competitiveness, and strengthen the American economy.

Sincerely*,

 

Residential and commercial photovoltaic projects will continue to be important stimulants for job creation and small business growth, but they will be complemented by large-scale photovoltaic and concentrating solar power projects

Mike Taylor, director of research and education at The Solar Electric Power Association (SEPA).

“The variety of ways solar power is being implemented signals an increased maturity in the market…”We are working with many creative companies to find utility business models that provide solid financial returns, increased renewable energy adoption and customer benefits”.

http://downloads.pennnet.com/sepa/sepa.pdf

“We must move beyond having 93 percent of all grid-connected solar installations in just 10 utilities’ service territories”

Julia Hamm, executive director of the Solar Electric Power Association

This year’s Solar Electric Power Association report,  based on the 2008 Utility Solar Electricity Survey completed by utilities in April 2009, catalogs how much solar electricity was interconnected by surveyed utilities in calendar year 2008 and what was installed cumulatively up through the end of 2008, including both photovoltaics and concentrating solar power.

This year’s report shows that 2008 solar power growth came almost entirely from thousands of distributed generation projects, which grow more steadily and consistently than centralized plants. However, SEPA anticipates that in future years centralized solar electric plants will play an equal or larger role.

The report shows an average increase of 2 MW per participating utility over the twelve months of 2008. Participating utilities had an average of 11 MW in their cumulative portfolio, and the Top Ten utilities represented 93 percent of all solar capacity.

The entire report could be seen at: http://downloads.pennnet.com/sepa/sepa.pdf

Thomas Friedman: – “Stimulate these – biotech, nanotech, info tech, clean tech”

Reading Thomas Freidman’s today’s article make we wonder: do you really think that the VCs will know what to do with $20 billion?? Sorry, friend, but this is not the right way. It will make them richer, but will not get us out of the financial crisis and make us energy independent. You yourself called upon investors to make the current era an ET (= Energy Technology) Era, replacing the IT trend. So, when it comes to precious public money – it should focus on developing technologies that will make the world independent from fossil fuel – both for electricity production and for fueling transportation.

“You want to spend $20 billion of taxpayer money creating  jobs?” – Fine. Establish a task force – a “Manhattan energy project” – that will develop family of clean energy technologies.

You are absolutely right when you say – “We need, and the world needs, an America that is thriving, not just surviving.”

I can also agree with your following perspective – “The renewable-energy business — wind, solar and solar thermal — was almost dead in this country. Most new projects stopped last fall because they depended for their financing on selling their renewable energy tax credits to Wall Street firms. As those Wall Street firms went bust or suffered steep losses, they had no need for tax credits, because they had no profits to offset. The stimulus package created a mechanism for renewable energy innovators to bypass Wall Street and monetize their tax credits directly through the U.S. Treasury, for any project that starts between now and the end of 2010.”

You are right – “necessity makes innovators even more inventive and risk-takers even more daring”.
Join FiiMA: www.fiima.org

It is incumbent upon us to establish the Clean Energy Manhattan Project – the sooner the better!
www.EnergySummit2010.com